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Bank of America Says Apple Stock Could Surge 14% From Here

Bank of America is staying bullish on Apple stock. The firm reiterated its Buy rating on July 30. It also held its $380 price target, putting Apple’s stock roughly 14% above its $333.43 close that day. The apple stock Bank of America case leans on tight iPhone supply, a stronger Apple AI growth story, and an apple earnings report that beat estimates once you strip out a one-time tariff refund.

Also Read: SpaceX Beat Wall Street, Yet the Bear Case Just Got Stronger

Apple Stock Bank Of America Outlook Highlights AI And Growth Potential

apple aapl stock
Source: MarketWatch Illustration / iStock

Analyst Wamsi Mohan built his updated apple stock forecast around one core idea: Apple’s guidance reflects what it can build, not what people want to buy.

Supply, Not Demand, Is Driving Apple’s Guidance

Apple’s fiscal third-quarter earnings report showed $109.4 billion in revenue, up 16% year over year, with EPS of $2.02. Bank of America flagged that about $0.11 of that came from a one-time tariff refund. So, earnings landed roughly in line with estimates once you back that out. September quarter guidance of 9% to 11% revenue growth came in below the roughly 12% analysts had modeled.

CEO Tim Cook said:

“It’s a demand forecast issue, to be candid, where the iPhone and the Mac are both doing remarkably better than we thought they would do.”

Asked directly whether higher prices were pulling purchases forward, Cook pointed to the data instead of guessing:

“We’ve been running at this 22% growth rate for the last while, for this cycle has been a 22% increase year to date, and so it’s not obvious in the data that what you’re asking is true.”

Five Reasons Behind The Apple Stock Price Target

Bank of America’s five-part Apple stock forecast rests on lean channel inventory, resilient iPhone demand, easing component costs later this year, growing Services strength, and Apple’s apple ai growth path through Siri and premium iCloud tiers. That’s the backbone of Bank of America’s case for staying long on the stock into the fall. Higher iPad and Mac prices factor in too, and Cook explained why those hikes happened.

Tim Cook said:

“We’re in what I would characterize as a hundred-year flood on the memory pricing with exponential increases in memory prices.”

What The $380 Apple Stock Price Target Is Based On

Mohan bases his $380 Apple stock price target on 37 times his 2027 EPS estimate of $10.32. That’s a multiple above Apple’s historical range. He argues Apple deserves the premium for several reasons. A multi-year iPhone upgrade cycle is one. Expanding AI opportunities are another. Apple also runs one of the most consistent capital return programs in the market. The company generated $34.4 billion in operating cash flow in the June quarter. It ended the period with about $62 billion in net cash. It returned $25.8 billion through buybacks plus roughly $4 billion in dividends. That fits Bank of America’s broader stock forecast heading into the December quarter.

That combination is why the apple stock Bank of America outlook keeps pointing higher, and why this Apple earnings report reaction reads more like confirmation than surprise to the bank’s Apple AI growth thesis heading into the fall iPhone cycle.

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