Entry: $179.10
**Stop Loss:** $165.24
Take Profit: $207.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.8

📊 Key Technical Setup

On the daily chart, we can clearly see a pullback to the Fib 0.705 level (70.5% Fibonacci retracement), measured from the last major bullish leg. This key level coincides perfectly with the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA200) , which acts as a dynamic long-term support.

From this confluence zone, price bounced strongly. Most importantly, this bounce was accompanied by a bullish reversal signal on the Connors RSI (RSI2) , which flashed an extreme oversold condition right as price touched support. This combination (Fib 0.705 + SMA200 + Connors RSI2 buy signal) gives us a high-probability setup that the bottom near $164.87 is likely in place.

Price is now consolidating above $179, looking to break immediate resistance at **$181.35** to accelerate toward the target.

📈 Fundamental Backing (Q2 2026)

**EPS of $1.12** vs. consensus of $0.90 (vs. $0.68 a year ago).

System-wide RevPAR grew 5.9%, with U.S. RevPAR up 6.7% (boosted by FIFA World Cup demand).

Gross fees up 7.8% to $324M, driven by managed portfolio strength.

World of Hyatt reached 69M members (+17% YoY).

Record development pipeline: 154,000 rooms (+10% YoY).

Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance: $1.155B–$1.205B (13–18% growth).

🎯 Technical Levels to Watch

Immediate Resistance: $181.35 (breakout would target $190+).

52-Week Range: $134.00 – $206.86.

Analyst Average PT: ~$195–$196, with highs at $221 (Mizuho).

Recent PT Hikes: Morgan Stanley raised to $218, JPMorgan to $205, and BofA at $200.

⚠️ Stop Loss Logic ($165.24)

The stop is placed just below the post-earnings low ($164.87) and the pivotal support at $162.42. A break below this zone would completely invalidate the recovery thesis and the bounce from the SMA200.

💡 The Play

Hyatt is delivering an unstoppable asset-light model, with fee growth, a record pipeline, and rising brand loyalty. The pullback to Fib 0.705 + SMA200 + oversold Connors RSI2 signal offers a high-value entry with defined risk. With analysts targeting $207+, the risk/reward is very attractive for positioning long.

DISCLAIMER:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The views expressed are solely my own and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security. Trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Always conduct your own thorough research (DYOR) before entering any trade.