XAUUSD H4 Weekly Forecast – Weak High Rejection & Bearish Move Toward 4,222 📉🎯

Gold is showing signs of a potential short-term bearish correction after making a strong upside move and forming a weak high near the 4,350–4,360 area. The current structure suggests that sellers could become active if price fails to maintain momentum above the recent high and confirms rejection on the H4 timeframe.

📉 Bearish scenario:
A clear rejection from the 4,350–4,360 resistance area could bring selling pressure back into the market. A break below 4,280 would strengthen the bearish setup and open the way toward 4,243, followed by the main target around 4,222. If 4,222 breaks with strong H4 confirmation, the correction could extend toward the 4,200–4,160 region.

🎯 Bearish targets:
• TP1: 4,280
• TP2: 4,243
• TP3: 4,222
• Extended target: 4,200–4,160

📈 Bullish scenario:
The bearish idea becomes weaker if Gold holds above the 4,280 support zone and buyers reclaim the recent high. A sustained H4 close above 4,350–4,360 could invalidate the rejection setup and signal another bullish continuation. In that case, price may target the 4,380–4,400 area and potentially continue toward new highs.

🎯 Bullish targets:
• TP1: 4,350–4,360
• TP2: 4,380–4,400
• TP3: New weekly highs above the current peak

🧠 Trading perspective:
The chart shows strong bullish momentum from the lower demand area, but the latest move has pushed price into a major resistance/high zone. Rather than chasing the move, traders can wait for confirmation through an H4 bearish candle, lower high, or a confirmed break-and-retest of support.

🔑 Key points:
• Weak high formation near 4,350–4,360
• 4,280 is an important short-term support level
• 4,243 is the first major downside objective
• 4,222 is the key bearish target shown on the chart
• H4 close below 4,222 could accelerate the correction
• Sustained price above 4,350–4,360 favors bullish continuation
• Watch USD strength and major economic events for volatility
• Avoid entering directly into strong momentum; wait for confirmation

🛡️ Risk management:
For a bearish trade, consider keeping the invalidation above the recent high rather than using an overly tight stop. Position size should be adjusted according to the distance to the stop, especially because Gold can experience sharp H4 swings.

Overall view: bearish correction is favored while the 4,350–4,360 high remains protected, with 4,243 and 4,222 as the main downside levels to watch. A decisive breakout above the recent high would shift the outlook back toward bullish continuation.