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Piyasa

Microsoft: Recovery Builds, but Will the Gap Be Filled?

Microsoft: Recovery Builds, but Will the Gap Be Filled?

A Strong Recovery from Major Support
Microsoft has staged an impressive recovery after finding buyers at a key confluence of support around $345, where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligned with previous monthly swing lows. Price also briefly tested the rising 50-Month EMA before bouncing sharply higher.

The Unfilled Monthly Gap
One feature that immediately stands out is the unfilled monthly gap left at $464.72. Historically, Microsoft has filled the vast majority of its monthly gaps, making this an area worth monitoring as the recovery develops.

The Bigger Technical Picture
Despite the recent rebound, Microsoft remains below its significant monthly high at $555.45. While the long-term structure remains constructive, bulls still need to reclaim higher ground before the broader uptrend can fully reassert itself.

Momentum Improving
Momentum has begun to improve, with the monthly RSI climbing back above the 50 level while the StochRSI continues to recover from oversold territory. These signals suggest the longer-term correction may be losing momentum, although confirmation is still needed.

What Comes Next?
If buyers can continue building on the recent recovery, attention is likely to turn towards filling the monthly gap before a potential challenge of the previous high. A failure to hold above the recent support around $345, however, would weaken the recovery and shift focus back towards the 50-Month EMA.

In Summary
Microsoft has responded strongly from one of the most important technical support areas on the chart, reinforcing the significance of the $345 region. Momentum is beginning to improve, but the recovery still has work to do. The unfilled monthly gap around $464.72 provides an interesting technical objective, while the longer-term outlook will ultimately depend on whether bulls can build enough strength to challenge the previous high at $555.45.

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