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Piyasa

Gold Analysis & Strategy – August 5

Gold Analysis & Strategy – August 5

Gold OANDA:XAUUSD

The price rallied to around 4106 intraday yesterday before pulling back. Overall, gold remains in a broad‑range high‑level consolidation with no clear directional breakout. As de‑escalation signals emerged from the Middle East, oil prices plunged by more than 5%, easing inflation concerns and driving a modest rise in gold. Markets are now awaiting the ADP Employment Report and Friday’s Non‑Farm Payrolls release. These two datasets will directly shape the Federal Reserve’s policy path for September. Gold is therefore likely to stay range‑bound ahead of the data prints.

Gold is currently trading near the 4070‑4080 zone. On the daily timeframe, price is trapped within the large consolidation box of 4000‑4120, with fierce tug‑of‑war between bulls and bears. For intraday trade, the primary resistance lies at 4085‑4100; bounces toward this zone will likely meet selling pressure. Strong resistance sits at 4105‑4120, where previous upside attempts stalled. In my view, only a decisive break above this zone can unlock further upside potential for gold.

Intraday primary support is at 4050‑4060, with major support at 4020. A meaningful breakdown below 4020 may trigger further retracement toward the psychological 4000 level to test buying interest, which is a key support zone to watch closely.

Trading Strategy
Short on price rejection during rebounds toward 4085‑4100.
Targets: 4050‑4060; extend downside target to near 4020 if support gives way.
Go long if price stabilizes on pullbacks to the 4050‑4060 zone.

Maintain prudent position sizing and manage risk ahead of the ADP Employment data release.

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