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Piyasa Stablecoin

gold analysis on daily time frame

gold analysis on daily time frame

Gold OANDA:XAUUSD

Price has now rallied from the ~4,000 support zone toward that descending trendline.
Major support
Your bottom grey zone around 3,950–4,020 is the major demand/support area.
Price spent several weeks consolidating there and repeatedly respected it.
Your analysis is basically: if this support holds, buyers have a reason to push price higher.
Immediate decision area
Current price is around 4,342.
Price is approaching/interacting with the descending trendline around the 4,300–4,400 area.
This is your key decision point.
Higher resistance zones
First major resistance: approximately 4,580–4,620.
Second major resistance: approximately 4,750–4,800.
These are the targets you've marked with the grey zones.
🟢 Your Bullish Plan

Your green arrows show this scenario:

4,300–4,400 → breakout → retest → 4,600 → 4,800

You're expecting price to:

Approach the descending trendline.
Break above it rather than reject.
Potentially pull back/retest the breakout area.
Hold that area as new support.
Continue toward 4,600.
If momentum remains strong, reach the 4,750–4,800 resistance zone.

The important part of your idea is not simply buying because price touches the trendline.

Your better setup is:

Breakout → confirmation/retest → bullish continuation.

That is a much stronger way to trade your idea.

🔴 Your Bearish Plan

Your red arrow represents the opposite scenario.

If price reaches the trendline but fails to break it, you expect:

Trendline rejection → bearish move → 4,000 support

In other words:

Price tests the descending trendline.
Buyers fail to get a daily close/acceptance above it.
Sellers step in.
Price falls back toward your ~4,000 support zone.

So you're essentially waiting for the market to tell you:

🟢 Bullish

Break and hold above trendline → look for long opportunities → 4,600 → 4,800

🔴 Bearish

Rejection from trendline → look for short opportunities → ~4,000

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