Gold remains in a strong short term bullish trend after breaking above the previous resistance around 4195-4200 and rallying toward the 4303 resistance. However the latest H4 candle shows rejection near this supply zone suggesting buyers may pause before attempting another push higher. As long as price holds above the 4195-4165 support area the overall structure remains bullish with potential upside toward 4412 and 4479. A deeper pullback into support could provide a healthier continuation of the uptrend.

Tomorrow NFP news is likely to drive gold next major move. A weaker than expected NFP could push gold above 4303 toward 4412-4479 while a stronger report may trigger a pullback to 4211-4165 or 4128. We should wait for H1-H4 confirmation after the news before entering new positions.

Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4280-4305
Sell Trigger: H1-H4 bearish rejection or bearish engulfing from the resistance zone
Targets: 4250, 4211, 4195, 4165, 4128
Invalidation: H4 close above 4305. A sustained breakout above this level would strengthen the bullish trend and could open the door toward 4412-4479.

Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4195-4165
Targets: 4211, 4250, 4303, 4412, 4479
Invalidation: H4 close below 4128. A sustained break below this level would weaken the current bullish structure and could expose 4050-4020.

Note
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