Consolidation above support, next move is building
On M15, Gold remains within a bullish structure, but following the strong impulse toward 4368–4370, the market has entered a clear consolidation phase.
Price is holding around 4342, while the 4325–4328 area continues to be defended. Multiple Buy reactions have appeared around this zone and the ascending trendline remains intact. However, momentum has cooled, with RSI near 53, showing a more balanced market for now.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
As long as 4325–4328 holds, the M15 structure favors another attempt toward 4350–4355. A breakout and M15 close above this area could reopen the path toward:
4368–4370 → 4377–4380
This remains the main supply and liquidity area above the recent high.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
An M15 close below 4325, combined with a break of the bullish trendline, would weaken the short-term structure.
The next downside objectives would become:
4317 → 4304/4300 → 4283
If bearish pressure continues, 4263 becomes the next important structural support.
📌 M15 Decision Zone: 4325–4328
Above 4325 → bullish bias → 4355 → 4368 → 4377/4380
Below 4325 → correction → 4317 → 4304 → 4283
For now, there is no confirmed bearish reversal. This still looks more like consolidation following the bullish impulse, with the breakout from the current structure likely to determine the next directional move.
Probability over prediction.
