M-F: MNQ/NQ BTO OHM setups and results



Today's focus: S-2 Upper-Tier Hinge:

1. S-1 forms, breaks & hits 62-point target
2. New hinge forms above S-1 lip
This is a valid, structural, high-probability trade.


Why Upper-Tier Hinges Form (auction logic)

1. S-1 expansion creates new trapped inventory
2. S-1 hinges create new PX shelves
3. S-1 hinges create new LVNs
4. S-1 expansion creates new compression zones


Why Today's S-2 Was a High-Probability Trade

1. Tight Overnight (ON) sweeps = much compression
2. Stable ON VWAP = value acceptance
3. S-1 was textbook hinge
a. apex & lip shelves were respected
b. precise pullback
c. clean expansion


NOTE:

S-2 Upper-Tier Hinge

1. extended time in apex shelf = trapped sellers
a. multiple failed breakouts
b. multiple reclaims
c. stable apex shelf - does not widen
d. shelf tightens - lower highs, higher lows
e. microbalance formation
IF these conditions are met THEN there is trapped inventory.
IF these conditions are not met THEN it is just noise.

2. extended time in lip shelf = stored energy
a. multiple failed breakouts
b. multiple reclaims
c. stable lip - does not widen
d. shelf tightens - lower highs, higher lows
e. microbalance formation
IF these conditions are met THEN there is stored energy.
IF these conditions are not met THEN it is just noise.


NOTE:

1. Tight ON Sweeps + Stable ON VWAP = S-1 Hinge-Ready Day

2. Tight ON Sweeps + Stable ON VWAP = S-2 Hinge-Ready Day


Three Tiers of Tight ON Sweeps:

1. tight = < 350 points
a. hinge-ready
b. value respected
c. compression inherited by NY

2. ultra-tight = < 275 points
a. high-probability S-1 Hinge
b. high-probability S-2 Hinge

3. extreme compression = < 250 points
a. S-1 - S-2 sequence
b. explosive expansion


Check back for the setups and results to be posted in the "Add note" section

OHM = Opening Hour Model


S-1 Hinge = red
S-2 Hinge = blue
MUST be seen on 15s chart


Personal Note:

I've been waiting for this day in order to introduce you to this high-probability S-2 Upper-Tier trade.