GOLD - Bull and Bear Defence, Liquidity - Potential Targets
XAUUSD – 12H Analysis
Current Price = 4068
Bias:
Neutral-to-Bearish until 4,203 is reclaimed.
The 3,888–3,945 demand zone is the key battleground to watch.
⚠️ I am not trading Gold until this area is mitigated.
Key Levels
- 🔴 Resistance / FVR: 4,510
- ⚫ MSS (Bear Defence Line): 4,203
- 🟣 Main Decision Level / POC: 4,052 – 4,065
- 🟢 Support / FVR: 3,945
- 🟩 Demand Zone (Liquidity Pool): 3,888 – 3,945
- 🟢 EQ / Major Discount: 3,710
Trading Plan:
- Price is currently coiling around the main decision level (POC) just above the demand zone
- Bulls need a clean breach of 4,203 (MSS) to confirm broader bullish control
- Bears remain in charge below MSS, with the demand zone acting as a liquidity magnet
Scenario 1 – Bullish:
- Hold above main decision level → sweep liquidity in demand zone → reversal
- Break and close above 4,203 MSS → continuation toward 4,510 supply/resistance
Scenario 2 – Bearish:
- Rejection at current levels → break below 3,888 demand zone
- Continuation into major discount area at 3,710 (EQ)
Fundamentals to Watch:
- Fed held rates steady in July
- Markets now expect a possible rate hike in September
- A stronger US Dollar has been pressuring gold lower
- This leans slightly bearish for now
Kwagga.