The consolidation around 4000 continues, remaining stable.
1. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Sideways within a broad range, with a short-term bearish bias
Key Signals:
Price continues to trade within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern that has been developing since early July.
The descending trendline remains dynamic resistance, with each successive swing high forming lower than the previous one.
EMA 9 (≈ 4,059) remains below EMA 89 (≈ 4,066), indicating that short-term momentum still favors the bears.
Price is trading below the EMA 89 and has yet to break above the dynamic resistance zone.
RSI (14) ≈ 45–46 remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that buying pressure is still relatively weak, although the market is not yet oversold.
The histogram remains below the zero line, indicating that bullish momentum has not yet been confirmed.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 trend remains bearish in the short term. However, as price approaches the apex of the symmetrical triangle, the market is likely to experience a strong breakout in either direction.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,110
Higher Low: around 3,976
Current Price: around 4,045
Price is currently consolidating within a narrowing range between:
The descending trendline (upper boundary).
The ascending trendline (lower boundary).
This indicates an accumulation phase before the market chooses its next directional move.
Current Pattern:
Symmetrical Triangle → Consolidation → Breakout Pending
3. EMA & RSI Analysis
EMA
EMA 9 remains below EMA 89.
Price is trading below both moving averages.
→ Short-term momentum has not yet turned bullish.
RSI (14)
RSI is around 45–46.
No clear bullish divergence has formed.
→ Momentum remains relatively neutral but still slightly favors the downside.
4. Key Price Levels
Resistance
4,060–4,066: EMA 89 and immediate resistance.
4,110–4,140: Major supply zone and long-term descending trendline.
Support
4,000–3,976: Ascending trendline and key support zone.
If this support is broken, the next downside target could be 3,940–3,950.