JP225 4H: Bearish BOS Confirmed – Pullback Short Setup
JP225 4H: Bearish BOS Confirmed – Pullback Short Setup
Current Status:
Both the trend and market structure are aligned to the downside.
The 4H EMA 20/50 remains in a dead cross.
Structure-wise, the key level at 62,324 (a critical area on July 28) was broken, confirming a Bearish BOS on the higher timeframe.
Price is currently reacting to the 65,295 resistance zone and has started to roll over.
Strategy:
As long as price does not close above the recent swing high at 65,433 (Invalidation Level), the setup remains fixed to the downside.
I am currently holding a probe short from around the 65,433 area according to my rules.
Next week, if the retest (pullback) completes and a clear downside continuation signal appears, I will look to scale into a full position.
Action:
Primary bias remains short. However, if decoupling from the US indices is observed, I will not increase size aggressively and will simply manage the existing probe position.
Summary:
This is not a prediction. I am simply following the confirmed fact of the structural break (BOS).
As long as the operating system (rules) is kept updated, there is no reason to get lost in this downtrend.
I will continue to process this as routine work, calmly and according to the rules.
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