$XAU | $GOLD Higher Timeframe Update
GOLD
is currently showing an interesting HTF vs LTF conflict so here’s how I’m looking at it from a learning perspective. 👇
On the Daily & 12H timeframe,
GOLD
is still bearish.
However, on 1H, 30M & 15M structure is currently bullish.
When HTF and LTF are conflicting, I prefer to align my trades with HTF bias and wait for confirmation on LTF.
Key HTF resistance
GOLD
is currently trading in a major resistance / lower-high zone around 4,382.
This is also the previous strong high marked by the red box.
One thing to keep in mind 👉 There is likely liquidity sitting above this strong high, where sellers stoplosses may be placed.
So personally I’m expecting a possible liquidity sweep above 4,382 first. 🧲
After that, I’ll be watching for bearish confirmation.
My two scenarios:
Scenario 1- Red Box Sweep
If
GOLD
sweeps 4,382 high and then gives 👇
1- Bearish internal structure shift
2- CISD
3- Bearish Order Block
4- Clear LTF weakness
I’ll look for a sell trigger from there.
Scenario 2- Continuation Higher
If
GOLD
breaks and holds above the red-box high without giving bearish confirmation, I won’t force the short.
Instead, I’ll wait for the Daily bearish Order Block / gray zone around 4,424–4,520.
Once price taps that area, I’ll again look for a bearish reversal on 1H / 30M / 15M before considering a short.
Key idea “I’m not looking to sell blindly at resistance” 💯
I want to see liquidity swept → reaction → confirmation → entry.
This is my personal bias based on the current structure. I’ll wait for the market to confirm it rather than forcing a trade.
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