USD/JPY tests critical support after latest intervention
USD/JPY has seen another round of intervention, pushing the pair down to $156.70 after climbing to nearly $164.
The latest move has pushed the exchange rate back to a familiar area around $155. That was the level last tested, but not broken, during the previous round of intervention in April, and that remains the case after the latest intervention.
The $155 level was tested several times during the spring and held firm. It was one reason the previous round of intervention failed to generate meaningful follow-through, ultimately allowing USD/JPY to resume its upward trend.
At this point, USD/JPY is technically oversold, with the relative strength index below 30 and the exchange rate trading below its lower Bollinger Band.
This is not a purely technical situation, and traditional technical analysis may not fully apply. Even so, assuming there is no further intervention, the currency pair could be due for a rebound.
If the exchange rate breaks below $155, there is scope for it to fall further, potentially finding support around $152.50.
However, if support at $155 holds and USD/JPY fails to break below that level, the pair could climb back towards $160, retracing much of the losses seen during the latest round of intervention.