CURRENT PA = YELLOW

2013 Fractel GREEN
2017 Fractel ORANGE
2021 Fractel LIGHT BLUE

ALL Cups in the Chart are identical in size.

When compared to the post PA from 2013, 2017 and 2021, BTC PA has a few similarites and yet, at the same time, it is doing somethign very new....for now.
From the ATH in October 2025, PA entered the New "Cup" and fell as in previous years but as can be seen, the fall is shallow, touching the Cup only once in November.
It has ranged at around the -50% mark since June 2026.
As you can see from the Chart, this is also where PA left the defaullt deeper dive zone that we have seen in previous Bear markets.
This does not mean it will not happen but currently, we do have a strength in PA that has not been seen before, at this level, post ATH.

PA is currently Ranging in a Zone around the center of the 2024 Range

But lets look briefly at each Fractel in its real time state
WHOLE CHART

2013 = GREEN FRACTEL

This was an ATH that set the Upper line of the channel that PA would be in till the time it fell out again in May 2026.
Note how PA was under the Cup as it fell, found support, bounced up into the Cup, got rejected and fell out of channel but remained in the CUP till it passed the neckline in March 2017.
Note that PA fell out of channel as it fell down to the Cup.
Current PA has also fallen out of channel for the first time since 2017.
The Orange day count is the 266 days from ATH to when PA fell out of channel.
We just did the same in 2026 and it took 238 days. The Only other time this has happened.

2017 = ORANGE FRACTEL

ATH Was above the channel and fell a long way to reenter the channel, around -60%.
What we should take note of here is how PA, once in channel, Ranged across, away from the Cup, till it fell sharply in Nov 2018.
Some attribute this drop to the BITCOIN CASH Hard Fork that "destabalised" the network. There were also numerous external Finacial / Macro issues in the World..
Currently. in 2026, We are in a VERY similar position. We have the BIP-110 soft fork potentialy splittig Miners and we all know the Finacial / Macro issues the world faces right now.
I am Watching THIS Fractel Very closely

2021 = LIGHT BLUE FRACTEL

As the standard, there are not many similarities of omportance with the 2021 post ATH PA, Initiay, there were, like PA finding support on the 236 Fin retracement on the same timeline as post 2021, but these have now been lost.
However, I have a Chart that uses a truncated 2021 Fractel and This is Very close.

A reminder that the last Drops in 2022 were a result of the FTX scam and I do not think we will see a simialr situation his time, hopefully. And so, if PA follows this, we are in for a few months Range......

So where do these Fractel Take PA , should we follow one of them to some extent.

2013 Fractel GREEN - 1.577 Million USDT by October 2029
2017 Fractel ORANGE - 329K by Feb 2029
2021 Fractel LIGHT BLUE - 223K by September 2029

Summery
We started by following the 2021 Fractel
We left that and followed the 2013 Fractel and now, we should watch the 2017 Sharp drop after a long Range.
Personaly, I do not think we will do that to the extent we did in 2018 but the possibility DOES Exist.

And in the back of my head, I am still of the opinion that a New cycle dtnamic may have been created. We passed the point of no return when we fell out the main channel.

The Blue Arc,as first posted a few years ago showing part of a Fib Spiral, was realising deminising returns and was HUGE Resistance, PA was also supported on a rising trendline and the two came together this year and PA, as aways, reacted to a Squeeze it could not win.
I think we may see a New Channel created and we will have to wait and see what happens.
But I thought these Fractels were fun
what do you think ?