What the chart shows
The 1H Supertrend flipped down at 12:00 UTC after price ran +12.5% in the prior
24 hours. Price sits at 69% of its 169-bar range (36.23–79.38), so this is a
reaction inside an established up-move, not a break of structure.

Why it is on the list
Two things lined up in the six hours before the flip. Price ran +12.5% over 24h,
a stretched move by this instrument's own history. Over the same window it
underperformed BTC by roughly 10 percentage points — the last leg was not
market-wide strength but a move already being sold relative to the majors.
My screener scores this 2 out of 5, the minimum tier it reports. Three of five
conditions did not fire: volatility is in the top percentile rather than
compressed, price has barely travelled since the flip, and kernel deviation is
short of its threshold.

Invalidation and horizon
Short from 66.05, invalidated at 69.07 (+4.57%). First target 63.03, one risk
unit lower, where half comes off and the stop moves to breakeven. The position
also closes in full if the 1H Supertrend flips back up — before or after that
first target, whichever comes first. No time cap. Setups like this usually
resolve within hours to a few days.

What I am not claiming
This is a situation to evaluate, not an entry signal, and I am not claiming an
edge here. Two caveats I would rather state than hide. The 4H Supertrend still
points up, so this is counter-trend on the higher timeframe. And the last four
hourly candles ranged 6% to 11%, while my stop rule caps risk at 5% — the stop
is at the widest my own rules allow and is still narrow relative to how this
instrument is currently moving, so noise alone can take it out.
I am short this instrument, so read it as a position I am accountable for
rather than as advice. I am not posting a win rate or an expected return —
I have 62 trading days of clean data and would need roughly 415 before any
number I gave you meant anything.